Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

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GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J. Trump

The events of February 6, 2026, encapsulate, as if through a prism, the major tensions of the international system: a terrorist Iran forced to negotiate in Oman out of sheer fear of American power; a Russia attempting to shield its illegal annexations while sitting in Abu Dhabi discussing “peace”; a nuclear arms control architecture teetering on the brink of collapse with the expiration of New START

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

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The last 24 hours have solidified a landscape that is not merely volatile, but profoundly unsettling due to its multicausal nature and its capacity for self-reinforcing feedback.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

President Donald J. Trump

The past 24 hours have brought an unusual concatenation of events with the potential to reconfigure the balance of power in four simultaneous geopolitical theaters: the Middle East, Latin America, Western Europe, and Southeast Asia.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Narendra Modi and Donald J. Trump

The last 24 hours have solidified a prevailing pattern: Washington is using trade, tariffs, and energy as instruments of strategic pressure

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Ali Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran from 1989 to 2026

The events of the past 24 hours confirm a world in “permanent friction mode,” where the combination of open warfare, economic warfare, and internal pressures is silently reshaping the balance of power.