Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

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ARTICLES

Pedro Sánchez, the current Prime Minister of Spain

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

March 31, 2026, is marked by five major geopolitical upheavals which, viewed together, reveal the depth of the international disorder in which we live.

The Pentagon

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The thirtieth day of the Gulf War—the most serious armed conflict since World War II in terms of its impact on global energy markets—opens with a double paradox that precisely defines the current situation: Washington speaks of negotiations while the Pentagon devises plans for ground operations.

Iran – At least 13 dead, including two children, in attacks in Kermanshah, amid the Israeli-US offensive. CONTACT via Europa Press

The military campaign has decapitated the Iranian regime, but secret diplomacy is searching for an interlocutor amidst the ruins of power.

US President Donald J. Trump

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The Middle East war enters its 27th day with a deeply ambiguous negotiating dynamic, dominated by contradictory messages emanating equally from Washington and Tehran.

Flyover by Spanish and German aircraft at the Rota Naval Air Base, Spanish Air Force and Space

Morocco is not a member of NATO; the legal framework, troop security, and infrastructure investment would make a complete relocation unfeasible in the short term. However, air operations, refueling, logistics, and hospital facilities could be relocated.

Mojtaba Khamenei

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The events of March 26, 2026, confirm that the conflict in the Middle East—the US-Israeli Operation Epic Fury against the Iranian jihadist oligarchy—has reached a critical turning point where diplomacy and military escalation are simultaneously and contradictorily reinforcing each other.

Robot finder and human finger touching

The events of 25 March 2026 constitute, possibly, one of the most intense and revealing days since the start of Operation Epic Fury on 28 February.

US President Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu Prime Minister of Israel

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The Iran-Contra conflict enters its fourth week with a defining contradiction: President Trump announces "very good and productive talks" with Tehran and orders a five-day pause in attacks on Iran's power grid and energy infrastructure, while the regime—torn apart by infighting among hardliners, extremists, and fanatics—categorically denies any negotiations with Washington.

Fighter jets on a carrier

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The war against Iran—launched jointly by the United States and Israel on February 28, 2016, under the names Operation Epic Fury (American) and Operation Roaring Lion (Israeli)—enters its fourth week with an escalation of cross-threats against critical infrastructure that threatens to further destabilize global energy markets and water security throughout the Persian Gulf region.

IDF

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The twentieth day of Operation Epic Fury—the joint US-Israeli military campaign against the Iranian jihadist oligarchy—marks a day of significant escalation on multiple fronts.

two flags

Ukraine has endured for eleven years an existential pressure that is unparalleled in contemporary Europe

Pyongyang launches several cruise missiles ahead of Trump's visit to South Korea ( Europa Press)

Violence has become less restrained and more willing to ignore legal and moral limits, while societies seem to be getting used to living with war.