GEOPOLITICS REPORT
The day unfolds along a single thread, and it’s worth pulling on it directly because it’s the one I’ve been describing for months: the lack of leadership—the absence, where it’s most needed, of an authority capable of making decisions and, above all, of guaranteeing those decisions—remains the underlying malady of our time.
GEOPOLITICS REPORT
Today’s events, which we analyze with unusual clarity, encapsulate the two major pathologies of the international order that I have been describing for months: the absence of legitimate authority where it is most needed and the deliberate erosion of certainties where they were hardest to build.
GEOPOLITICS REPORT
Three assassinations and a narrow strait explain the day’s events, and it’s best to state it bluntly, because therein lies the key to what I’ve been describing.
GEOPOLITICS REPORT
Today’s events revolve around a single question: who is truly in charge when leadership is most needed?
GEOPOLITICS REPORT
The global geopolitical chessboard awoke this Monday, June 29, 2026, with three dominant points of focus that, taken together, brutally reveal the full complexity and fragility of the post-Cold War international order.
Spain, absent from the E5: From irrelevance to suspicion
Spain’s exclusion from the Berlin summit on 24 June 2026 and its strategic implications.
GEOPOLITICS REPORT
We are experiencing a day marked by two opposing forces.
GEOPOLITICS REPORT
Today’s events confirm—once again—that we are living within what I have been describing as a “contained systemic fracture.”
GEOPOLITICS REPORT
The day leaves an image that summarizes, better than any commentary, the character of this US foreign policy: President Trump celebrates a roadmap (memorandum of understanding) with Tehran abroad while, on the same day, his own Senate rebukes him for the first time with a war powers resolution.
GEOPOLITICS REPORT
The day has a single center of gravity—Bürgenstock’s table—around which almost everything else revolves: the price of crude oil, the key to the Strait of Hormuz, the real power in Tehran, and, less visibly but no less decisively, the internal war that the Iran-Contra affair has unleashed within the Republican Party.