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Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Map of The Middle East and the Strait of Hormuz

There are days when the world map is better understood by looking at the water than at the land. Yesterday was one of them.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J. Trump

The day can be summarized in a single sentence, and it’s worth stating it bluntly because it’s the thread from which everything else hangs: on the same Wednesday that the United States bombed Iran for the twelfth consecutive night to prevent Tehran from acquiring nuclear weapons, it signed a civil nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia, accompanied by a bilateral safeguards agreement. Some may see a contradiction there.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky

Today’s events confirm that the war in the Middle East and the war in Ukraine share a common symptom: the erosion of leadership.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham

There are days when current events, capricious as they are, place two seemingly disparate news stories on the same table, yet they are linked by a common thread that the analyst has a duty to unravel.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J. Trump

The phrase that states have neither permanent friends nor enemies, only interests, has been repeated a thousand times.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky

Two stories, or rather three intertwined threads, have dominated the geopolitical landscape for the past forty-eight hours, and all three share, despite unfolding in geographically distant settings, a common denominator: the erosion of authority as an inevitable consequence of protracted war.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Gibraltar

Critical report on the European Union–United Kingdom Treaty relating to Gibraltar, signed in Brussels on 14 July 2026 and provisionally applied since 15 July.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Mojtaba Khamenei

The world awakens, yet another day, to find the Strait of Hormuz a powder keg and the Persian Gulf the epicenter of a crisis that long ago ceased to be regional and has become global.