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Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Mojtaba Khamenei

Today’s report deliberately forgoes a broad scope in order to gain depth.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

cityscape with smoke

I am writing this on one of those days when current events confirm, with almost didactic clarity, what I have been describing for months.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Geopolitical Report 7.9.26

Two epicenters shaped the day, and both—not by chance—overlapped in time and illuminated each other.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

soldiers

I am writing this edition as two clocks tick in opposite directions on global geopolitics.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

NATO summit 2026

We are living through, without rhetorical exaggeration, one of the most delicate moments the international order has experienced since the end of the Cold War.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Ali Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran from 1989 to 2026

Monday dawns, condensing into a mere twenty-four hours almost all the fault lines I’ve been describing since the outbreak of the Iran-Contra conflict.

The geopolitics of football

Moroccan soccer fans celebrate after the Netherlands vs Morocco World Cup match JOHN VAN DER TOL Agencia EFE

The king of sports can be an instrument of cohesion and a balm for nations, but also an alibi for tyrants and a smokescreen for execrable regimes.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

China and Taiwan sign

The day unfolds along a single thread, and it’s worth pulling on it directly because it’s the one I’ve been describing for months: the lack of leadership—the absence, where it’s most needed, of an authority capable of making decisions and, above all, of guaranteeing those decisions—remains the underlying malady of our time.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Geopilitical Report 30_6_2026

Today’s events, which we analyze with unusual clarity, encapsulate the two major pathologies of the international order that I have been describing for months: the absence of legitimate authority where it is most needed and the deliberate erosion of certainties where they were hardest to build.