Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

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GEOPOLITICS REPORT

President Donalnd J. Trump on the phone

The international chessboard has contracted dramatically around four interconnected risk axes that define the start of 2026 and that interact with each other with an implacable logic…

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

President Donald J. Trump

The last 24 hours have left a clear—and worrying—snapshot of the start of 2026: coercion is once again commonplace, even among allies…

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

President Donald J. Trump at the World Economic Forum 2026

In the last 24 hours, the geopolitical chessboard has been dominated by Trump’s about-face on Greenland, the economic impact of that reversal, new macroeconomic data from Asia and Europe, and the consolidation of a European security architecture increasingly distrustful of Washington.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

President Donald J. Trump standing in front of Air Force One

The events of the last 24 hours condense, almost to the point of caricature, the tensions of this beginning of 2026: a President Trump turning Greenland into a touchstone of power and tariffs, a Europe trying to react without breaking the Atlantic bond, a globalizing peace architecture for Gaza, and an EU seeking to shield, through joint lending, the Ukrainian resistance until 2027.