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Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Iranian politician

Three assassinations and a narrow strait explain the day’s events, and it’s best to state it bluntly, because therein lies the key to what I’ve been describing.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Geopilitical Report 30_6_2026

Today’s events revolve around a single question: who is truly in charge when leadership is most needed?

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Venezuela earthquake damage

The global geopolitical chessboard awoke this Monday, June 29, 2026, with three dominant points of focus that, taken together, brutally reveal the full complexity and fragility of the post-Cold War international order.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

earthquakes have torn Venezuela apart

Today’s events confirm—once again—that we are living within what I have been describing as a “contained systemic fracture.”

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J. Trump

The day leaves an image that summarizes, better than any commentary, the character of this US foreign policy: President Trump celebrates a roadmap (memorandum of understanding) with Tehran abroad while, on the same day, his own Senate rebukes him for the first time with a war powers resolution.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Andy Burnham British politician

The day has a single center of gravity—Bürgenstock’s table—around which almost everything else revolves: the price of crude oil, the key to the Strait of Hormuz, the real power in Tehran, and, less visibly but no less decisively, the internal war that the Iran-Contra affair has unleashed within the Republican Party.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

J.D. Vance

The week dawns with the geopolitical pendulum swinging, once again, between diplomacy and outburst.

Brexit: Anatomy of a Disaster

Pro-Brexit demonstration in central London yesterday, La Razón

The UK’s problems with the EU were caused by politicians who used “the villains in Brussels” as an excuse for their woes.