Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

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ARTICLES

Venezuela earthquake damage

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The global geopolitical chessboard awoke this Monday, June 29, 2026, with three dominant points of focus that, taken together, brutally reveal the full complexity and fragility of the post-Cold War international order.

(From left to right) British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, French President Emmanuel Macron, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and the leader of the German CDU, Friedrich Merz, are seen talking during a diplomatic meeting - PHOTO/Office of the President of France

Spain’s exclusion from the Berlin summit on 24 June 2026 and its strategic implications.

Map of The Middle East and the Strait of Hormuz

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

We are experiencing a day marked by two opposing forces.

earthquakes have torn Venezuela apart

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Today's events confirm—once again—that we are living within what I have been describing as a "contained systemic fracture."

US President Donald J. Trump

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The day leaves an image that summarizes, better than any commentary, the character of this US foreign policy: President Trump celebrates a roadmap (memorandum of understanding) with Tehran abroad while, on the same day, his own Senate rebukes him for the first time with a war powers resolution.

Andy Burnham British politician

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The day has a single center of gravity—Bürgenstock's table—around which almost everything else revolves: the price of crude oil, the key to the Strait of Hormuz, the real power in Tehran, and, less visibly but no less decisively, the internal war that the Iran-Contra affair has unleashed within the Republican Party.

J.D. Vance

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The week dawns with the geopolitical pendulum swinging, once again, between diplomacy and outburst.

Pro-Brexit demonstration in central London yesterday, La Razón

The UK's problems with the EU were caused by politicians who used "the villains in Brussels" as an excuse for their woes.

MOU between Iran and USA

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The world awoke today to a deceptive image: that of an armistice signed beneath the chandeliers of Versailles

MOU between Iran and USA

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Today I break with the usual format of five or six news items to devote the entire report to a single file, because a single file deserves it: the Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) that the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran

US President Donald J. Trump

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The events of June 17th were dominated by a paradox that must be stated bluntly.

Strait of Hormuz diagram

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

There are days that are heralded as an end but turn out to be little more than a respite.