Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

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ARTICLES

graphic

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The last 24 hours have solidified a landscape that is not merely volatile, but profoundly unsettling due to its multicausal nature and its capacity for self-reinforcing feedback.

President Donald J. Trump

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The past 24 hours have brought an unusual concatenation of events with the potential to reconfigure the balance of power in four simultaneous geopolitical theaters: the Middle East, Latin America, Western Europe, and Southeast Asia.

Narendra Modi and Donald J. Trump

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The last 24 hours have solidified a prevailing pattern: Washington is using trade, tariffs, and energy as instruments of strategic pressure

Ali Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran from 1989 to 2026

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The events of the past 24 hours confirm a world in “permanent friction mode,” where the combination of open warfare, economic warfare, and internal pressures is silently reshaping the balance of power.

US President Donald J. Trump

The president is, above all, a political animal with extraordinary instincts who has learned from his mistakes and now governs without internal constraints, convinced of his own invulnerability.

President Donalnd J. Trump on the phone

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The day of January 30, 2026, was marked by events of extraordinary geopolitical significance that highlight the profound transformations of the international order.

Ursula von der Leyen President of the European Commission

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Europe is once again at the center of the chessboard, not so much for what it does as for what others project onto it...

Prime Minister Narendra Modi

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The days of January 27-28, 2026, will be marked by a trade milestone of historic proportions: the free trade agreement between the European Union and India, hailed by both parties as "the mother of all trade agreements."

Fighter Jets taking off

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The geopolitical landscape of the last 24 hours confirms a triple structural tension: the protracted war in Ukraine, the escalating tension with the theocratic regime in Tehran, and the acceleration of systemic competition with China, now also playing out in Europe with Keir Starmer's trip to Beijing and the strategic issue of the Chagos Archipelago.

President Donald J. Trump

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The international chessboard has contracted dramatically around four interconnected risk axes that define the start of 2026 and that interact with each other with an implacable logic...

President Donalnd J. Trump on the phone

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The international chessboard has contracted dramatically around four interconnected risk axes that define the start of 2026 and that interact with each other with an implacable logic...

Trump has published an AI-generated photomontage showing him planting the US flag in Greenland

The Republican's second term demonstrates that the West must choose between regaining its "hard power" or accepting irrelevance in a multipolar world.