We are living through, without rhetorical exaggeration, one of the most delicate moments the international order has experienced since the end of the Cold War.
Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui
We are living through, without rhetorical exaggeration, one of the most delicate moments the international order has experienced since the end of the Cold War.
Monday dawns, condensing into a mere twenty-four hours almost all the fault lines I've been describing since the outbreak of the Iran-Contra conflict.
The king of sports can be an instrument of cohesion and a balm for nations, but also an alibi for tyrants and a smokescreen for execrable regimes.
The day unfolds along a single thread, and it's worth pulling on it directly because it's the one I've been describing for months: the lack of leadership—the absence, where it's most needed, of an authority capable of making decisions and, above all, of guaranteeing those decisions—remains the underlying malady of our time.
Today's events, which we analyze with unusual clarity, encapsulate the two major pathologies of the international order that I have been describing for months: the absence of legitimate authority where it is most needed and the deliberate erosion of certainties where they were hardest to build.
Three assassinations and a narrow strait explain the day's events, and it's best to state it bluntly, because therein lies the key to what I've been describing.
Today's events revolve around a single question: who is truly in charge when leadership is most needed?
The global geopolitical chessboard awoke this Monday, June 29, 2026, with three dominant points of focus that, taken together, brutally reveal the full complexity and fragility of the post-Cold War international order.
Spain’s exclusion from the Berlin summit on 24 June 2026 and its strategic implications.
We are experiencing a day marked by two opposing forces.
Today's events confirm—once again—that we are living within what I have been describing as a "contained systemic fracture."
The day leaves an image that summarizes, better than any commentary, the character of this US foreign policy: President Trump celebrates a roadmap (memorandum of understanding) with Tehran abroad while, on the same day, his own Senate rebukes him for the first time with a war powers resolution.