Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

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GEOPOLITICS REPORT

cityscape with smoke

The day’s events have yielded a headline that, if confirmed in the next forty-eight hours, could reshape the Middle Eastern landscape.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

fighter jets on a carrier ship

The day dawns with the now familiar, almost routine feeling that the international system teeters on the brink of collapse, held together by precarious balances that any excess could shatter.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J Trump

Monday, May 4, began under the unmistakable shadow of “Project Freedom ,” the military operation announced by the White House to escort merchant ships through the Strait of Hormuz, where, according to the British Royal Navy, nearly 20,000 sailors of various nationalities are trapped.

Lebanon, martyr state

Funeral ceremony for three members of the Lebanese Civil Defense in Tyre. WAEL HAMZEHC, EFE News Agency

How a country of 10,452 km² was dragged down for half a century by the depredations of Damascus, Tehran, and their proxies. And how, finally, a Lebanese majority dared to say enough is enough.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Pete Hegseth

This analyst has been warning for weeks that “Operation Epic Fury” has entered a phase of dangerous strategic uncertainty.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

OPEC building

The events of April 28, 2026, brought five major news stories which, taken together, paint a picture of a world in which the pillars of the energy, diplomatic, and strategic order we knew in the 20th century are cracking at an alarming rate.