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Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

ARTICLES

Russia has put in writing what it had only hinted at until now: it is prepared to use nuclear weapons if anyone isolates Kaliningrad. This is not just another boast. It is part of a strategy that Europe continues to refuse to understand.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Today's three news stories share a common thread: the war is no longer fought only on the front lines. It is being fought at an airbase in the English countryside, in the cockpit of a commercial airliner flying from Dubai to Tel Aviv, and in the diesel fuel depots of Europe.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The last 24 hours have revealed a similar pattern across three different theaters: the Western withdrawal is creating vacuums, and revisionist regimes are rushing to fill them.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Today's five news stories seem to belong to different worlds: the Iran war, the space race, debt markets, the Church's moral pronouncements, and the US diesel crisis.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Today, Monday, September 28, the general debate of the 81st session of the UN General Assembly (UNGA) concludes in New York, held under the theme "Restoring Trust, Managing Transformation: A United Nations That Delivers for All."

We would create it with fewer buildings and more Blue Helmets, with fewer secretariats and more UNICEF kitchens, and with a Security Council where a single state could not hijack world peace.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The day offers a stark contrast that brutally summarizes the state of the world at the end of September 2026.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

In just 48 hours, three authoritarian regimes paraded through New York and Washington with the same baggage: promises without a timeline, commitments without oversight mechanisms, and a remarkable ability to transform mere theatrics into substance.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The 81st session of the UN General Assembly has transformed New York, over the past 24 hours, into the stage where nearly all the fault lines we've been tracing in these reports converge.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

The Iranian regime, through Qatari mediation and a parallel Pakistani channel, has presented Washington with seven conditions for reopening negotiations and ending the war that began with the US and Israeli attacks in late February.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Europe has improved its diagnosis, but not its capacity to respond: it knows what threats lie in wait, but it does not turn that knowledge into arsenals, doctrine, industry and political will at the speed that the 21st century demands.

Europe sometimes makes the correct diagnosis, but almost never takes the appropriate measures to protect itself and stay ahead of the adversary.