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Geopolitical Analysis & Commentary by Gustavo de Arístegui

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J. Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping

The days of May 14–15, 2026, hold a geopolitical density of the first magnitude, accumulating in just twenty-four hours three strategic axes with potentially transformative consequences.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J Trump and China's President Xi Jinping

On May 14, 2016, Air Force One landed at Beijing Capital International Airport, ending nearly a decade-long absence of a US president on Chinese soil.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J Trump and China's President Xi Jinping

The world awoke on May 13, 2026, on the threshold of one of the most strategically significant bilateral meetings in recent years.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J. Trump

May 12, 2026, is shaping up to be one of the most geopolitically charged days of recent months, with a confluence of mutually reinforcing risk factors that this analyst has been consistently diagnosing.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J Trump

The world awakens today, May 11, 2026, at the intersection of five mutually reinforcing crises whose simultaneity is unparalleled in decades.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Fighter Jets taking off

The day that closes this week, in this analyst’s opinion, presents itself as one of those pivotal days in which several pieces shift simultaneously, leaving the casual observer unable to discern whether what they are witnessing is a true turning point or merely a waiting period between two episodes of tension.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

Oil Tanker

The period from May 6th to 7th, 2026, concludes with a realization that no one in this profession can deny: the international system is experiencing one of those phases of volatile warfare in which no actor manages to impose victory, yet neither can afford defeat, and in which diplomacy is forced to operate amidst the noise of the fighting and the fatigue of public opinion.

GEOPOLITICS REPORT

US President Donald J Trump

Monday, May 4, began under the unmistakable shadow of “Project Freedom ,” the military operation announced by the White House to escort merchant ships through the Strait of Hormuz, where, according to the British Royal Navy, nearly 20,000 sailors of various nationalities are trapped.